In article , Rob
wrote:
Jim Lesurf wrote:
FWIW The UK govenment claim that having a 'degree' boosts lifetime
earnings for UK residents by the order of a couple of hundred thousand
pounds [1] relative to other with the same school results but no
degree. However a BBC Radio 4 program ('More or Less') that looks at
the use of statistics investigated this.
It found what you might expect. That when you take
depeciation/inflation into account and analyse by subject then...
Computer science and physical science/eng/maths grads tend to do
rather better than the generalised average.
...but on average 'art' grads earn over a lifetime *less* if they went
to Uni for a degree.
Moral there somewhere, I guess. :-)
Well, perhaps one moral might be to look at the remit and design of the
research :-)
Earnings can also be related to gender, ethnicity, class and age for
example. Simply correlating degree type and earnings doesn't tell you a
great deal about anything.
It may do if you are wondering if the generalisation presented by the
government means what the govenment want you to think it means. :-) The
point here is that graduates *regardless of topic* are now expected to pay
fees, etc, and the statistic is wheeled out by the government as one way to
justify this. The point of the examination was to see if the situation was
the same across all topics. The results reported indicated big differences
from one topic to another. So you would need - as common for experimental
results and statistics - to know the context in which the figures are
presented.
The implication is that - if you are a studying a topic like comp sci, etc,
- that your degree does tend to increase your probable lifetime earnings.
But that for some other topics going to uni and getting a degree may be
likely to reduce them. People deciding what courses to take, or careers to
aim at, might find that of some interest.
Of course you can argue that 'averages' "don't tell you a great deal" in
any (individual) case. If so, then the initial statistic can also be
dismissed. :-)
Personally, I'd stick with my own standard advice to students, etc. Simply
do what you find interesting and find you can do enjoyably well. But I know
that many students are anxious to take degrees that will give them a good
job or career for obvious reasons.
So I can't help suspecting that such a breakdown by degree topic might be
of interest to those considering going to uni and comparing that with
simply getting to work.
Depends what you want to hear, I suppose.
Well, if you are in the UK you can hear it for yourself. :-) The program
was broadcast on Friday, so should still be on the BBC iPlayer 'listen
again', etc. They explained in detail how they had examined the figures. If
you find a flaw in their approach, let us know. Indeed, you can also email
them as they actively encourage that from listeners. I know from previous
programs that they do sometime correct what they said and acknowledge that
an email pointed out their error. So now's your chance. :-)
The point of the program is to re-examine the 'statistics' the government
and other issue to see if they actually mean what the issuers claim. I find
it an excellent program as it often uncovers ways in which dubious
conclusions are drawn from misuse of 'statistics'.
The R4 'Media Program' is also worth a listen IMO. They recently discussed
'media studies' and gave quite a range of views as the speakers on the
program included people involved with teaching and assessing such topics.
Slainte,
Jim
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