Hello Keith - I'm not sure about some of what you write he
1) The prices will go up as valves become more popular
Prices for new production Russian, Czech and Chinese valves are pretty static,
and there is a mountain of common valves out there (viz. guitar amp and hifi
models like ECC***, 6L6GT, EL34 etc). Several mountains of less common valves,
to the point that dealers just junk a lot of types to save rental on keeping
them.
(as they have with secondhand vinyl, which is now about 10 times more
expensive in charity shops in the UK than it was a couple of years ago....)
?????? all my information is that common vinyl, e.g. classical orchestral, is
rock bottom. Jazz and pop is different, since this is now 'collectors' rather
than consumer. Just try and sell a collection of 1,000 classical LPs (I have
such a collection to sell - please give me 10 times what they were worth a
couple of years ago!)
NOS valves will disappear more quickly
Remember that vast quantities are being hoarded by valve users. And anyway, new
production (EH, JJ, EI, Svetlana etc) is getting better and better and new
types are being manufactured every year. This year sees, for instance, the 7591
and 7868 from Eh and JJ, plus new and greatly improved Chinese 845s.
and the increasing popularity will encourage more crap onto the market
Well, so far, more good stuff has come onto the market including some very fine
new valves as above.
(Offsetting this, of course, is that the same popularity will ensure better
continuity of supply generally....) Agreed
2) Valves take a lot more 'work' than ss gear Agreed
OK if a support structure establishes
itself There is a good support structure - less than before but maybe
something like Leica owners or classic car builders.
3) There is also the possibility that the greater danger of valves will result
in a great raft of legislation swinging into place
Why wouldn't this have happened already in the century or so of valve use? Why
would a government even bother with such a small issue these days?
I think we bottleheads are ultimately going to become rarities, but the sound
of valves lives on - musicians love them and use them, and a number of musical
listeners, as you say, find they come closest to the sound they find represents
the "musical experience". I think digital amps are coming up fast and I'd see
the future there rather than in analogue SS. Some digital amps sound rather
fine. But valves will live on simply because of the investment people have made
in them. I'd bet that when valve equipment becomes rare there will still be a
mountain of unused valves out there. Andy
=== Andy Evans ===
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